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Is Africa the Next Big Thing?

Controlled Greed is wondering about Africa:
Africa could be — note the words “could be” — the perfect contrarian emerging markets play. That is, everyone is raving about Mainland China and India (and even Asia). Yet a few years from now we all wake up and start reading — after the fact — that pan-African investments […]

What were you doing on 19 October 1987?

Friday is the 20th anniversary of ‘Black Monday’, when the Dow Jones fell 22.6%. The FTSE All-Share fell 20% in two days. Most investors can remember what they were doing then and, for some, it changed their lives.
Peter Lynch starts my favourite investing book, ‘One Up on Wall Street’, reminding readers:
You can’t bring up […]

Greenspan: a bit of doom, maybe

In his first UK radio interview since leaving the Fed, Alan Greenspan tells John Humphys (audio, fast forward about 9 mins) economic instability is the price of ever increasing wealth. However, we’re learning to cope. We may not be able to forecast significant turning points in the economy, but society is becoming more flexible so […]

Will China bring this market down?

If a run on a bank won’t bring this market down, what will? How about a China scare-story. They don’t get much bigger than that.
Though the the bail-out of Northern Rock and the fragility of banks in the face of a credit crunch seem serious, the stock market has actually risen since the news […]

Saving Merv’s reputation

The fight is on to restore Mervyn King’s reputation:
Former banker Sean Park would put bankers and especially Northern Rock chief executive Adam Applegarth in the dock, not Mervyn King. Bankers turned safe debt into toxic losses using excessive leverage, and Northern Rock ran itself like a hedge fund.
The former chairman of the US Federal Reserve […]

The market is cheap! No! It’s expensive!

The market’s price earnings ratio is lowish suggesting good returns ahead. But the long-term PE is high, suggesting we’re doomed. Can they both be right?
CXO Blog says shares are good value. Price to earnings ratios remain at or below both their 17-year and three-year averages, with current levels and earnings forecasts suggesting good returns for […]

Selling Northern Rock

It would be ironic, but it seems destined, that the credit squeeze that stopped the buyout business in its tracks looks set to jolt it back into action. Dealbook speculates that Northern Rock is headed for the block.
Scott Moeller, ceo of executive education at Cass Business School and author of a book on mergers and […]

Was Northern Rock threatened by insolvency?

One thing that’s bothering me. The FSA says Northern Rock is solvent. But if it’s solvent, why does it need to tap the Bank of England for credit?
I think the answer lies in today’s trading update:
While Northern Rock has continued to raise new funds, these have been mainly in the short term wholesale debt markets […]

Northern Rocky

Northern Rock has called on the Bank of England as lender of last resort.
It sounds portentous: On the Financial Services Authority’s recommendation, and on the chancellor’s authority, the Bank of England is providing “liquidity support“, aka a “bail out”, to Northern Rock in the form of credit at penal rates guaranteed against its assets.
The FSA […]

Notable #1

Because one viewpoint is never enough, here’s some links to what I’m reading:

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