A month for head bangers
Here’s the damage
This month, managing the Thrifty 30 portfolio has been like playing that fairground game where a gopher pops up out of a hole in a table and you have to smack it back down again with a mallet before another appears from a different hole.
Eventually they pop up so fast you can’t keep up, and the fairground owner keeps the prize.
T30 monthly review
Monthly performance appraisal: Richard Beddard
True to form I’m not reviewing performance, how much money the portfolio is making and whether the shares in it have gone up or down, until the Thrifty 30 experiment has run its course in 2015. I cannot extrapolate meaning from monthly price movements, and guessing would be a waste of time. Continue reading »
The Thrifty 30 enters its third year
Performance issue needs addressing
Although it’s January, and I feel compelled to review the Thrifty 30’s annual performance, I’ll refrain because I just don’t think it’s productive. There’s another way of looking at performance, though, and I don’t think I did very well in 2011.
New year, more resolution
Follow the script
Last year ended introspectively, with a failed trade in Armour that was both expensive and misguided, but before then I felt I was losing my grip on some of the constituents in the Thrifty 30 portfolio.
My resolution this year is a simple one to make and perhaps a more difficult one to achieve. It’s:
Only to add a company to the Thrifty 30, or hold a company, if I can articulate my reasons in less than two minutes in words a teenager can understand.
Confessing to the original sin
Maybe simple statistics do trump judgement
Every time I read a review of ‘Thinking Fast and Slow’ by Daniel Kahnemann, a psychologist who won the Nobel prize for economics, I think I should read it. Especially in the light of a decision that is weighing heavily on me.
Comments
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- The cyclically-adjusted P/E ratio (PE10 or Shiller PE) on State of the market
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RB on Twitter
- @pdosullivan Thanks Philip. Ditto.
- Interesting thoughts from @mcturra2000 on magic formula investing http://t.co/JEq0Ak1j my reply: http://t.co/UHRnYZKR
- Just discovered there are two Mervyn Kings. This one hits the bullseye https://t.co/JmPZPIIp This one moves the target https://t.co/JmPZPIIp
- @smarkus Thanks
- Thinking of tackling Next L:NXT next. It scares me witless. @spbaines and @GeoffGannon wld have me rely on earning power. Soooo hard...
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